Another thing is people focusing on the “AI vs anti-AI” argument and overlooking the “open source vs close corporate AI” war going on.

There’s a very narrow window to solidify “personal” AI before the giants capture the market and snuff everything else out. Its future is either useful tools you run on your phone/PC (or maybe in P2P swarms or among highly competitive API hosts), or it’s what you described: shitty, unethical, corporate UIs that ruin everything.

Lemmy vs Reddit (and simply being ‘anti-Reddit’ obscuring that) is an apt analogy.

It’s why, to be blunt, the broad liberal “anti AI” stance really annoys me. It feels like everyone shooting themselves in the foot.

Alibaba’s QwQ 32B is already incredible, and runnable on 16GB GPUs! Honestly it’s a bigger deal than Deepseek R1, and many open models before that were too, they just didn’t get the finance media attention DS got. And they are releasing a new series this month.

Microsoft just released a 2B bitnet model, today! And that’s their paltry underfunded research division, not the one training “usable” models: https://huggingface.co/microsoft/bitnet-b1.58-2B-4T

Local, efficient ML is coming. That’s why Altman and everyone are lying through their teeth: scaling up infinitely is not the way forward. It never was.

I mean, I was a massive AI enthusiast before the hype, playing with GPT-J, GAN models and such.

…And AI is definitely a bubble that’s going to die. It’s completely ridiculous.

It doesn’t mean it will go away, but tech bros have hyped it way beyond what it actually is: a set of extremely useful tools.

You are kinda right, Lemmy (and the left wing) is pretty extreme on the machine learning hate, but “AI” is like 95% fud right now.

OpenAI is massively inefficient, and Atlman is a straight up con artist.

The future is more power efficient, smaller models hopefully running on your own device, especially if stuff like bitnet pans out.

IDK what you mean, I held through COVID and it’s been way up since then. Even if you bought the S&P 500 at the peak of February, right before it hit, you would have been back in the green within a year.

It appears that gravity has already taken over and softened this impact, too:

https://www.axios.com/2025/04/09/trump-tariffs-pause-china-stocks-recession

Vote with your dollar, etc.

100%.

I’m in the Warren Buffet/sorta Motley Fool camp on small time, long term stock holding in a few companies you see doing good things, putting in bit by bit.

TSLZ

Heh, I wouldn’t have done this. I figured Musk would just prop up the stock from the White House, but I underestimated everything.

But whatever, haters gonna hate. :)

That’s how Lemmy be.

I suspect downvotes could be for simply being in the stock market, and coming out on top, not just doubt that you did. A kinda “you capitalist pig” sentiment. Which is understandable, but…

+1, with an addendum.

I had (and have) some crazy Evangelical family in the South. Climate denial, anti vax, Democrats burning in hell, unspeakable acts from their pastors they worship, the whole nine yards. Simplifying drama, I’d wince, then chuckle, and dismiss them as relics the US (and maybe Christianity?) would move past.

I’m not laughing anymore.

I believe it.

The lesson I learned growing up in the 2008 crash, and hearing about the dotcom bubble, is “the finance guys will screw something up, they can’t help themselves.” Hence I have a small, long term short against the Russel 3000 in my portfolio to “counterbalance” random whole market nonsense. Not as extreme as OP, but I can totally see someone being cynical and shorting a lot at the start of the year.

And now I feel old.

A problem is volunteers and critical mass.

Open source “hacks” need a big pool of people who want something to seed a few brilliant souls to develop it in their free time. It has to be at least proportional to the problem.

This kinda makes sense for robot vacuums: a lot of people have them, and the cloud service is annoying, simpler, and not life critical.

Teslas are a whole different deal. They are very expensive, and fewer people own them. Replicating even part of the cloud API calls is a completely different scope. The pool of Tesla owners willing to dedicate their time to that is just… smaller.

Also, I think buying a Tesla, for many, was a vote of implicit trust in the company and its software. It’s harder for someone cynical of its cloud dependence to end up with an entire luxury automobile.